Texas Tech vs. Kansas State Prediction and Preview for 1 November 2025

Texas Tech vs. Kansas State Preview and Prediction

Texas Tech vs. Kansas State: The No. 13 Texas Tech Red Raiders are chasing the Big 12 title and need to keep up with conference leaders BYU and Cincinnati. Their next challenge is a road game against the Kansas State Wildcats — a matchup that could be trickier than it appears.

Based on recent performances and historical matchups, Kansas State looks like a solid pick to stay competitive in this game.

Prediction: Kansas State +7.5

This matchup has all the signs of a potential trap game for Texas Tech.

• The Red Raiders are coming off a dominant 42-0 win over Oklahoma State.

• Just a week earlier, their undefeated streak was snapped by Arizona State.

• Offensively, Texas Tech leads the Big 12, scoring an average of 43.6 points per game.

• Defensively, they’re allowing only 12.4 points per game — the lowest in the conference.

However, they may be tempted to look ahead to next week’s big game against 10th-ranked BYU, which could make them vulnerable.

Meanwhile, Kansas State is playing some of its best football of the season:

• They’ve won three of their last four games.

• Their only recent loss was a one-point defeat to Baylor.

• Over the last four games, they’ve averaged 37.8 points per game.

• They crushed Kansas 42-17 after beating TCU 41-28 — their two highest-scoring games this season.

Kansas State has also owned this rivalry:

• They’ve defeated Texas Tech eight straight times.

• At home, they’ve won five in a row in this matchup, with four of those wins by at least nine points.

Prediction pick: Kansas State +7.5

Best Same-Game Parlay Picks

3-Leg Parlay

• Kansas State +7.5

• Avery Johnson Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

• Joe Jackson Under 71.5 Rushing Yards

Why:

• Kansas State QB Avery Johnson has thrown at least two touchdown passes in four straight games.

• Texas Tech’s defense is strong but has allowed eight passing touchdowns this season.

• Joe Jackson has topped 71.5 rushing yards only once this year. And Texas Tech has the best run defense in the Big 12, giving up only 68.1 rushing yards per game.

5-Leg Deep Shot Parlay

• Kansas State +7.5

• Avery Johnson Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

• Joe Jackson Under 71.5 Rushing Yards

• Cameron Dickey Anytime Touchdown

• Behren Morton Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Why:

• Cameron Dickey leads the Red Raiders in rushing with 675 yards and nine touchdowns. He’s scored in each of his last three games.

• Texas Tech quarterback Behren Morton has thrown just two touchdowns in his last three starts and is still recovering from an injury.

Odds

Trend to Know

• The underdog has covered the spread in eight of Kansas State’s last nine games.

Game Details